Some problems are so complex that you have to be highly intelligent and well informed just to be undecided about them. - Laurence J. Peter

Wednesday, April 12, 2006

The Next Ten Years

The Speculist has some predictions for technological advances in the next ten years.
-Another branch of medicine, Native Transplant, allows scientists to grow organs from a patient's own stem cells for later transplant within the body. As a result, the field of artificial organs is basically shelved for a few years.

-Artificial blood is perfected. Patients who have lost the ability to produce blood are now given permanent blood replacement. These patients find that the artificial blood is superior. The medical community begins discussing the idea of blood replacement within healthy individuals as an elective procedure.

-A once-a-day oral medication that limits absorption from the digestive tract aids the battle against obesity. It quickly becomes the most prescribed medication in the history of the country. Some predict that exercise will be abandoned in favor of pill-popping. The opposite happens as Americans get out and enjoy their healthier bodies.

-The first tentative steps are taken toward life extension. By 2014, life extension enthusiasts have reason to believe that "escape velocity" has been reached in this field – each year brings more than a year's improvement in life expectancy. Nevertheless, age reversal remains elusive.
There's more.


Blogger Steve said...

Some say that by 2014, we will have reached escape velocity - that is, for each year we live, science will (artificially?) be able to increase our lifespan for more than that.

Of course eventually our brain will wear out, and as it provides the means by which we live - reason - then we cannot truly live forever.

Which raises an interesting question: to what extent is a brain grown from one's own stem cells and implanted in an individual, still that individual?

3:45 AM


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